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22 Nov 2023
Czech Republic: Staff Concluding Statement of the 2023 Article IV Mission
The Czech Republic's economic growth slowed considerably following Russia’s war in Ukraine, reflecting disruptions in global value chains, significant increases in energy and other commodity prices, an erosion in real wages, and a necessary tightening in monetary policy. Growth is expected to pick up in 2024—led by consumption and fixed investment, as inflation fades and real income starts rising again, supported by net exports. Nevertheless, GDP is unlikely to reach the levels that would have been given by its pre-pandemic trend by 2028. Inflation, having peaked in 2022, is projected to meet its target by early 2025. Risks are tilted to the downside for activity and to the upside for inflation.
